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Perry Kaufman

Perry J. Kaufman is a market strategist known for his knowledge and experience in computer-based trading systems applied to world futures and financial markets. His publication, The New Commodity Trading Systems and Methods (John Wiley & Sons, 1987), has become the technician’s required reference. In 1984, he published the comprehensive Handbook of Futures Markets (Wiley). An earlier book of research papers, Technical Analysis in Commodities (Wiley, 1980), has been translated into Japanese. Perry founded the Journal of Futures Markets (Columbia University and John Wiley & Sons), a vehicle for gathering academic research on market analysis. He is series editor of Wiley’s Trader’s Advantage, and his latest book, Smarter Trading, was released by McGraw-Hill in 1995. Perry specializes in the application of technical and fundamental (statistical) analysis to the development of trading and risk management programs for both commercial and private investors. Much of this work is based on price theories and techniques he has researched and developed since 1971. He combines the ability to integrate computer technology and strategic allocation with traditional investment approaches in order to achieve realistic objectives. Perry is particularly interested in closing the gap between theoretical and actual results, concentrating on the world’s stock index, foreign exchange, interest rates, and energy markets. Perry is director of research for Kaufman, Diamond, and Yeong, a consulting firm serving the financial industry in the United States and Singapore. In addition to providing risk management, education, and training, the firm publishes Kaufman on Market Analysis, a periodic report on the applications and development of trading strategies. In Singapore, the company provides market-related educational services and is developing trading strategies using new technologies (such as neural nets and artificial intelligence) under a grant from the Singapore government.

Titles By Perry

Developing a Multiple-Strategy Trading Program

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Most traders attempt to find the single most robust trading strategy possible by looking for one set of rules or one trading technique which works over the entire history of the market. Such systems do not take into consideration the fact that price shocks can quickly turn a quiet, sideways market into a very volatile and highly discretionary one. A system that works in a sideways market will probably not work in a volatile one, and vice versa. While discretionary traders can adapt instantly, disciplined systematic traders are often caught in a time lag before their formulas can catch up to the new market profile. In this workshop, Perry Kaufman shows you how to create a multi-strategy approach that can switch rules, strategies, and techniques automatically (or even get you out of the market altogether during some periods) depending upon events in the market which can cause unpredictable price shocks. Perry explains how these price shocks can skew the results of many trading systems, allowing them to show unreasonably high profits or unreasonably low risk. Using these new principles, Perry guides you through the process of developing the tools you need to create your own programs. He shows you how to apply them to a short-term trading system. Perry uses extensive TradeStationTM examples. He provides you with code, which you can easily modify for use with other software packages.

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The Best Public Trading Tools methods I've Found for Futures and Equities

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Trending Techniques and System Selection Index

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The conflict between trending and non-trending markets poses one of the greatest dilemmas for the systems trader. To trade effectively you must decide whether to trade with a trend or against it, or to wait for a better entry position altogether. In his workshop, Perry presents what he considers the best technique for making these decisions. He combines this trending technique with a System Selection Index to determine which markets exhibit signs of a reversal and which indicate a continuing trend. Based on these concepts, Perry shows you how to improve your entry timing. He explains why profit taking improves results while stop-losses make them worse. Perry also describes some useful programs written for his own use and provides you with TradeStationTM code, easily adaptable for use with other software packages, to illustrate his concepts.

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