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Currency Trading

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Channel Analysis—The Key to Improved Timing of Trades

Expert: Brian J. Millard

Average Rating: 12345

Currencies, fixed income, equities and futures are all characterized by price movement that is simultaneously both random and cyclical. The random movement is, of course, unpredictable. Cyclical movement is somewhat predictable, although not completely because the various cycles undergo gradual changes in amplitude and frequency. Channel analysis provides a simple way of focusing on the predictable. This knowledge will enable the trader to enter and leave the market at the optimum time for maximum profits. Using examples from the currency and stock markets, Brian shows you how the channel analysis method can be applied to both short-term and medium-term trading. You will learn fundamental relationships between short-term and medium-term trends, and how to decide when either type of trend is likely to change direction. You are given guidelines and rules for estimating the future target area in which the trends will again reverse direction. This will enable you to choose the trades with the highest gain potential and lower risk at the time trade is contemplated.

Classical Technical Analysis as a Powerful Trading Methodology

Expert: John Tirone

Average Rating: 12345

John Tirone’s workshop focuses on several classical principles that he has refined and tested over time and uses in his own trading. John uses these principles to read and interpret bar charts for trading in both short and intermediate time frames. John’s analysis techniques have been used by spot traders, as well as speculators, to reduce risks and increase profit from the main trend of the markets. John’s trading approach highlights the power of these classical and time-tested technical tools, while making the method easy to incorporate into your personal trading plan. This methodology has proven itself when used for trading futures, currencies and the stock market. In this session, you will learn how to use bar charts in actual trading examples, starting with the monthly charts, then working your way down through the weekly, daily, and hourly charts all the way to the tick level. You will learn how to recognize a trend with confidence. John also teaches you how to use support and resistance levels to determine buy and sell signals. John introduces you to some of the risk management techniques he uses and shows you ways to recognize when the market is going against you. John’s topics always rank high in real-world trading content for those wishing to capitalize on market movements with a structured trading plan.

Computer-Based Trend Trading: Employing Sound Research and Design for Profit

Expert: Patrick Raffalovich

Average Rating: 12345

Pat unveils a new, unique set of indicators which overcome the inherent limitations of nearly all traditional tools and offer a much clearer picture of the trend itself. Most commonly used tools are essentially momentum-based and suffer from similar design weaknesses — they detect changes in momentum rather than actual changes in trend because they examine price through a narrow window of time — a single “look-back” length. Changing the length of time being analyzed significantly affects the signals generated. Pat gives you a new set of tools to help you avoid the arbitrary nature of fixed lookback lengths; these tools are specifically designed to analyze ALL relevant time frames, normalizing price movement for each time segment. This eliminates both the lag effect of long-term tools and the whipsaw effect of short-term tools, and generates clear signals at extreme overbought and oversold levels. You will learn to pinpoint entries and exits that offer maximum profit potential. You will also learn to monitor the developing trend for confirmation and to instantly determine whether a trend is mature and sustainable or likely to fail. Pat also shows you how to create stop mechanisms that automatically adjust to changes in volatility. He discusses how these new indicators allow you to directly compare and rank the current trendiness of all markets, which will tell you where the best profit potential exists. You will learn which markets have historically offered the most profit potential and which are the riskiest. You will also be shown how to develop an accurate risk profile of a trade in progress. Additionally, Pat describes the statistical methods and techniques used in the development of these new tools and how you can use these techniques in your own research and system design. Then he shows you what works and what dosen’t by using examples drawn from several markets. You will learn why a risk-adverse trading system is important to short-term traders and why varying the bet size based on statistics separates the professional trader from the amateur. Pat also explains why the key determinant to successful trading is how well your system(s) accommodates your psychological profile and risk tolerance levels.

Construction & Application of the MACD Indicator

Expert: Gerald Appel

Average Rating: 12345

In this workshop, the man who developed the MACD indicator teaches you the intricacies of this popular and effective indicator. Gerald begins this session with a description of the basic construction of the MACD indicator and the principles underlying the patterns the MACD describes. He shows you the basic buy and sell signals generated by the MACD, and then builds upon those signals to demonstrate how to use longer and shorter term MACD lines to refine buy and sell signals. He also shows you how to adjust MACD signals for market trend. Gerald also covers stop-loss techniques and the application of cyclical phases. He shows how to use MACD to determine when very strong market-up moves are in progress. Finally, Gerald describes some of the other lesser-known techniques associated with MACD.

Database Creation and Management - Markets Measured Are Markets Defined

Expert: Peter Steidlmayer

Average Rating: 12345

Organizing data is always the first step in analysis. Most technical traders organize market data in terms of time and price. Peter contends that this is not the way the market represents itself, and that traders would be better served to view market data as the market actually presents it. In this session, Peter examines market segments, or discrete market movements, in terms of value and development rather than price and time. To really understand the market, traders must allow the market to communicate freely. Any externally imposed structure will distort the results. Peter views chronological time as just such an external structure. Market movements do not conveniently begin and end at pre-calculated times in order to coincide with a particular chart or trading style. Market movements begin when some inefficiency between buyers and sellers exists. The movement ends when the market has attained its objective. Most technical analysis is based on the premise that the current price has already discounted all available information about the underlying instrument and so is “fair” at any given time. Peter explains why recent developments in the markets invalidate this assumption — price at any given moment no longer represents value at that moment. Inefficiency generates market movement. In Peter’s terms, such movement begins with a dominant force that then drives the movement to some result or output (price). The end of any given market segment is, by definition, the beginning of another. Determining how, when, and under what circumstances a market segment ends is the beginning of market evaluation. The concept of efficiency is critical to Peter’s methodology. It is, essentially, that state in which the buyers and sellers agree on the value of an underlying instrument. Peter explains the concept of dynamic efficiency, in which the markets are always moving from imbalance to balance. Peter believes that, ultimately, questions raised by the market can only be answered through active participation in the markets. In this session, Peter gives you the foundation you need to undertake this journey. According to Peter, the market “ . . has a well-defined underlying process that can be understood and recognized and that process has a natural progression that can be seen and measured. It has reference points which, when identified, represent important information, and it produces a final output which accomplishes the market’s purpose. The process is cyclical: it reaches closure and then starts over again.”

Determining Trends in Foreign Exchange Markets

Expert: Adam Hewison

Average Rating: 12345

J. Adam Hewison, the founder and president of INO.com, will share with you the technical tools he uses every day to determine trends in the foreign exchange markets. He will also discuss the outlook for the U.S. dollar and major cross-rates and show you a very simple technique to determine the major trend in the currency markets. Adam will explain negative and positive forces in the marketplace and how the big moves are often set up years in advance. As a former floor trader, Adam will discuss the difference between trading on the floor of an exchange and trading from an office thousands of miles away.

Developing a Multiple-Strategy Trading Program

Expert: Perry Kaufman

Average Rating: 12345

Most traders attempt to find the single most robust trading strategy possible by looking for one set of rules or one trading technique which works over the entire history of the market. Such systems do not take into consideration the fact that price shocks can quickly turn a quiet, sideways market into a very volatile and highly discretionary one. A system that works in a sideways market will probably not work in a volatile one, and vice versa. While discretionary traders can adapt instantly, disciplined systematic traders are often caught in a time lag before their formulas can catch up to the new market profile. In this workshop, Perry Kaufman shows you how to create a multi-strategy approach that can switch rules, strategies, and techniques automatically (or even get you out of the market altogether during some periods) depending upon events in the market which can cause unpredictable price shocks. Perry explains how these price shocks can skew the results of many trading systems, allowing them to show unreasonably high profits or unreasonably low risk. Using these new principles, Perry guides you through the process of developing the tools you need to create your own programs. He shows you how to apply them to a short-term trading system. Perry uses extensive TradeStationTM examples. He provides you with code, which you can easily modify for use with other software packages.

Discretionary Judgments for the 'Systems' Trader

Expert: Russell Sands

Average Rating: 12345

Russell feels that purely mechanical systems, no matter how rigorously tested, still leave room for the personal judgment of an experienced trader. He points out those areas and techniques where he feels the trader should exercise that judgment, sometimes to optimize the potential profit from a trade and sometimes to prevent the trader from following his system. Russell feels that people can, and always will, trade better than machines — provided they put forth the effort. Russell explains why trend-following works and why it will continue to work in the future. He points out what he feels are the dangers and shortcomings of other types of trading methodologies, all from the viewpoint of statistical analysis and standard probability theory. Russell shows you how the Turtles were taught to define and exploit trends in the futures markets through the use of both classical and proprietary technical analysis. He gives you some ground rules on how to devise your own customized trading system, including how to interpret computer testing results and how to avoid the dangers of optimization or curve fitting in an attempt to create a profitable and workable system.

Event Trading in the Futures Market

Expert: Ben Warwick

Average Rating: 12345

Event trading is a new and exciting technique for trading the financial and commodity markets. It represents a third major approach to trading, distinctly different from technical or fundamental methodologies. Designed to capture profits from market reactions to news events, event trading provides a systematic approach for exploiting a wide variety of market-moving events such as economic reports, interest rate changes, and surprises in corporate earnings. Ben discusses how he utilizes this new technology to trade the currency, interest-rate sensitive and agricultural markets. You will learn how event trading and breakout analysis differ from the traditional “consensus versus actual” method. Ben then shows you which types of news releases have given the most consistently profitable trading signals in each market. The workshop covers the use of several powerful statistical methods that can show which trades truly capture an inefficiency and which ones give only random results. This is the first TAG workshop that focuses upon these techniques as an integrated topic.

Finding and Maintaining Your Personal Trading

Expert: Mark Douglas

Average Rating: 12345

The popular sports press often focuses attention on what they call “the zone.” This term refers to a state of mind “which produces the highest expression of oneself and the most satisfying results.” Traders (just like great athletes, musicians, and artists) who experience this state of mind create for themselves the environment in which to be successful at their craft. For traders, that craft is the accumulation of wealth. Mark explores and discusses the underlying mental dynamics that cause you to enter and exit your personal zone. From his own experiences, he shows you the advantages of trading from within your zone and the pitfalls of trading without this critical mindset. He shows you how the zone applies to trading, and teaches what you can do to take conscious control of the process and use the zone to your advantage. Mark recently discussed this concept at the annual Futures Industry Association convention in the United States. Most traders don’t recognize the psychological paradoxes inherent in trading. Therefore, they often never really understand why success is so elusive — always clearly within sight and yet just out of reach. Consistent success is difficult to achieve because the trading environment differs in almost every way from the environment of our everyday lives. For example, our fears usually help us avoid unpleasant or painful experiences but in the trading environment, fear colors our perception of market information and thus influences our actions. As incredible as it may sound, fear of making a mistake, losing money, or missing an opportunity will actually cause us to create the very experiences we are trying to avoid. Mark believes that consistency as a trader does not depend upon your knowledge of market behavior but rather upon a unique market mindset. Mark draws upon his experience with hundreds of traders to explore the attributes and components of the market mindset that helps you to create consistent results in your zone of success.
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There are 69 Titles on the Currency Trading channel.

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